Vegas -- A Defining Hand
In late position, I limped with a bunch of people with 45s. The guy next to me raises it to 10. The guy next to him makes it 40. One guy calls. Another guy, a loose Asian player to my left calls.
Me, not really paying attention (but also gambling that it doesn't get raised), calls.
The original raiser pushes all-in. The re-raiser calls. The third guy folds. The Asian guy calls.
I have $76 in chips left at this $1-3NL game at the Excalibur, and I'm thinking, shit.
All-in guy, of course, shows AA.
The reraiser has AKo.
The Asian guy has 33.
Flop is Q4J. I have a chance.
Turn is 6.
River, of course, is 4.
"Trips," I say cheerfully, as I flip over my cards and take down the $481 pot, pushing me ahead for the trip.
Looking at CardPlayer.com's odds calculator, my call of $76 for $406 was nearly right on the money. Pre-flop, my suited connector has an 18.35 chance to win, with a .39 percent chance of a tie.
My call is 18.85 percent of the pot.
Aces, of course, is in the lead with a 58.06 percent chance to win and a 1.08 percent chance to tie.
AK, the reraiser, makes a huge mistake. His chance of winning is 5.51 percent with a 1.08 percent chance to tie. The Asian guy's pocket threes is way better, with a 17.09 percent chance to win (and .39 percent chance of tie).
It was the most Sith arts play I've done in a while. I was gambling at the time and thinking, "I'll take the low." My thoughts that I was facing two people with big cards for a big pot was right on the money.
AA got to spin the wheel for money (an Excalibur promotion for aces cracked), he received $70 and came back to give the rest of his money to me when he raised me all-in on the flop with a str8 draw. I had KK.
The rest of the table must have thought I was a donk because this other big stack called me to the river when I had a set of 4s on the flop. He had 45o.
I wandered to the other side of the street and jumped in a $2/5NL game at the MGM Grand where I made about $200 on a hand in which I had KK and this newbie called me with a pair of tens and some kind of gutshot draw.
POKER CATS NOTEBOOK: The money really opened up my passing game. I went to the Rio to check out the NL game (not so donkish as the other night and full), then drove over to the Venetian to hopefully play in its gorgeous poker room. The NL$1/2 and NL$2/5 games were full, unfortunately. There wasn't much of an interest list for its Mixed Game, or I would have stayed. I went across the street to the Mirage to check out the action there, but the games didn't look that good.